NYT: CFTC Officials Who Flagged Prediction-Market Risks Were Sidelined as Enforcement Pulled Back

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Senior CFTC officials who flagged problems at major prediction-market firms were sidelined, prompting questions about the agency’s approach to crypto regulation, according to a New York Times investigation.

What the NYT found
- Career CFTC staff who raised red flags about firms including Polymarket, Crypto.com and a Gemini affiliate were suspended, placed on administrative leave or otherwise pushed out. Two officials who questioned the activity were reportedly on leave by late 2025; three other employees tied to crypto enforcement faced similar actions.  
- The officials had flagged concerns about consumer protections, fraud controls and whether a Gemini affiliate had completed required regulatory review. The report says then‑acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham and senior counsel Brigitte Weyls later helped the firms proceed.  
- Inside the agency, staff reportedly felt the message was “Don’t cause trouble.” The White House denied any conflicts of interest; spokesman Davis Ingle told the NYT, “There are no conflicts of interest.”

Pullback in enforcement
- The NYT says the CFTC has stepped back from crypto enforcement under the current administration: the agency reportedly dropped at least five crypto probes and filed only two crypto enforcement cases — both against individual operators.  
- Separately, Reuters reported the CFTC sued New York on April 24, accusing the state of overreaching after New York sued Coinbase Financial Markets and Gemini Titan over prediction‑market products. The dispute is one of several state‑level fights: the CFTC has challenged actions in Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois, New York and Wisconsin.

Regulatory shifts and ongoing rulemaking
- The CFTC recently provided no‑action relief for fully collateralized event contracts traded on regulated exchanges, easing some swap‑data reporting and recordkeeping duties for designated contract markets, clearing firms and market participants.  
- In March the agency opened a broader rulemaking process for prediction markets, seeking public comment on event contracts, public‑interest limits, cost‑benefit considerations and potential future rules.

Industry posture and enforcement talks
- Polymarket has been in active talks with the CFTC about lifting a four‑year U.S. ban tied to a 2022 enforcement action and a $1.4 million settlement. Discussions center on contract design, KYC and reporting requirements. In 2025 Polymarket acquired QCX LLC, a CFTC‑registered exchange, for roughly $112 million — a move that could support a regulated U.S. path if officials approve.

Political pressure and the bigger picture
- Congress has pressed the agency on capacity concerns: the House Agriculture Committee recently urged President Trump to fill four vacant CFTC commissioner seats, warning that a single‑member commission cannot keep pace with expanding crypto and prediction‑market duties.  
- Meanwhile, the Senate Banking Committee advanced the CLARITY Act in a 15‑9 vote; the bill would split oversight of digital assets between the SEC and the CFTC, a legislative change that could materially reshape how crypto markets are regulated.

Why it matters
The NYT investigation paints a picture of internal friction at the CFTC at a time when prediction markets and other crypto products are drawing enforcement scrutiny and state‑federal clashes. Ongoing rulemaking, high‑profile litigation and congressional action will help determine whether the agency tightens enforcement, cedes ground to states, or moves toward clearer rules that reshape how crypto event markets operate in the U.S.